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3 Questions Every Confident Investor Should Ask
Lucia Capital Group Weekly

3 Questions Every Confident Investor Should Ask

February 21, 2020

The current bull market for stocks began on March 9, 2009. But the belief among some investors at that time was that stocks still had farther to fall, and the worst was still to come. They were wrong. Now, nearly 11 years later, we still have not seen another bear market in the S&P 500. This situation has created in the minds of some investors that stocks will continue to climb forever – a mistaken idea that could have dangerous consequences. When markets are flying high (or, conversely, when they’re sinking into oblivion), it can create a recency-bias mentality that may cause you to stray from your stated investing objectives. You may be tempted to make a risky move in response that you’ll later wish you hadn’t: a move that may be irreversible. Before you make a move like that, either out of fear or elation, you should ask yourself three important questions.

Can You Control the Uncontrollable and Forget the Rest?
Lucia Capital Group Weekly

Can You Control the Uncontrollable and Forget the Rest?

February 13, 2020

In last week’s video, we explained why it’s often better to manage the amount of risk you take in your portfolio, rather than trying to achieve a high rate of return.  We showed how two sets of hypothetical portfolios, both with the exact same investments over a 10-year period of time, could have entirely different outcomes — simply by changing the date that a retiree began taking withdrawals. In this week’s edition of Lucia Capital Group Weekly, our “Professor” Rick Plum takes that same hypothetical scenario and expands the time horizon by another ten years.  How did these two (imaginary) identical portfolios fare after a 20-year time horizon? You may be surprised.  
Manage Risk, Not Return
Lucia Capital Group Weekly

Manage Risk, Not Return

February 6, 2020

When it comes to investing, people often make the mistake of focusing on the wrong goal. Certainly, most everyone would like to see a good rate of return on their investments, and it’s nice when that happens, but trying to manage your way into achieving a high rate of return is almost always a fool’s game. Day trading, chasing yield, acting on short-term market predictions, and other gambits are not only time-consuming, but also time wasting. There is simply too much that is out of your control. A better way to go may be to focus instead on what is actually manageable: the amount of risk you take. While lower risk usually offers lower rewards, it may also potentially protect your portfolio from loss. This may be especially true over longer periods of time — and when it comes to stock (equity) investments, a long time horizon is essential.